Sell-or-hold analysis
2024 Rivian R1S resale value forecast (2026–2027)
The R1S has been a quietly strong residual performer relative to the R1T — over the past 12 months it has lost roughly 18-22% versus the R1T's 25-30%. The 60-day band below shows whether that outperformance continues into 2027.
Three-row EV SUVs are scarce, and the R1S has limited direct competition until the upcoming Cadillac Escalade IQ and refreshed Lucid Gravity scale up. That structural scarcity is the residual's main defense.
2024 Rivian R1S price history
Last 26 weeksMedian asking prices aggregated weekly from active dealer and auction listings.
2024 Rivian R1S 60-day price forecast
Next 8 weeks| Week ending | Low (P10) | Expected (P50) | High (P90) |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | $71,157 | $71,742 | $72,615 |
| May 22, 2026 | $70,945 | $71,637 | $72,706 |
| May 29, 2026 | $70,829 | $71,659 | $72,921 |
| Jun 5, 2026 | $70,749 | $71,621 | $73,016 |
| Jun 12, 2026 | $70,658 | $71,591 | $73,087 |
| Jun 19, 2026 | $70,512 | $71,457 | $73,013 |
| Jun 26, 2026 | $70,342 | $71,325 | $72,985 |
| Jul 3, 2026 | $70,216 | $71,239 | $72,977 |
Common questions
Why does the R1S hold value better than the R1T?
Three-row family EV SUVs are a thinner market with less competition than EV trucks. R1S buyers also skew higher-income, less elastic to incentive cycles. The R1T competes against Lightning, Silverado EV, Cybertruck, and used Hummer EV — far more downward pricing pressure.
How does the R1S compare to a Tesla Model X on residuals?
The R1S has held value materially better than the 2023-2024 Model X over the trailing 12 months — Model X is dealing with the post-Plaid pricing reset Tesla applied across the lineup. The R1S premium positioning has been more stable.
Will the R2/R3 launch hurt R1S residuals?
R2 is a smaller, cheaper vehicle — buyer-pool overlap with R1S is limited. R3 is even smaller. Neither directly cannibalizes three-row R1S demand.
Pin the R1S forecast for your next move
See the live 60-day forecast band, weekly market refresh, and price alerts for every CarCast-tracked vehicle.
Last updated May 8, 2026. Forecast refreshes weekly from live dealer listings.
Forecasts and trend classifications are informational analytics only and do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to purchase, hold, or sell any vehicle. Individual market conditions vary.