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Sell-or-hold analysis
The 2024 Model Y sits at the inflection point between Tesla's late-2024 incentive-driven inventory glut and the late-2025 stabilization. Our 60-day forecast for this trim is shown below — the trajectory is what matters more than any single snapshot.
Over the next 12 months, the Model Y is unlikely to follow the same depreciation curve as the Model 3 because SUV/crossover EVs have held value 3-5 percentage points better than sedans in every monthly cohort we tracked. That doesn't mean it's a buy — it means the rate of loss is gentler.
Median asking prices aggregated weekly from active dealer and auction listings.
| Week ending | Low (P10) | Expected (P50) | High (P90) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | $37,848 | $38,348 | $39,012 |
| Nov 15, 2026 | $37,812 | $38,408 | $39,204 |
| Nov 22, 2026 | $37,794 | $38,465 | $39,363 |
| Nov 29, 2026 | $37,810 | $38,552 | $39,524 |
| Dec 6, 2026 | $37,807 | $38,624 | $39,684 |
| Dec 13, 2026 | $37,768 | $38,666 | $39,816 |
| Dec 20, 2026 | $37,708 | $38,666 | $39,874 |
| Dec 27, 2026 | $37,675 | $38,666 | $39,902 |
Juniper was announced in early 2025 and began shipping mid-2025. The 2024 Model Y now sits one generation behind on interior and exterior styling, which has pulled approximately $2,500-$3,500 off comparable used pricing versus a pre-refresh trajectory. Most of that compression is already in the market.
Long Range AWD has retained roughly 4-6% more value than RWD over the past 12 months because EV buyers in colder climates strongly prefer AWD for winter range. The Long Range premium at new was $4,000-$5,000; at used resale that premium has narrowed to $2,500-$3,000 — which means buyers, not sellers, currently benefit more.
Not necessarily — what matters is whether the 60-day forecast band is flat, falling, or rising. If our model shows a flat-to-rising P50, the downside risk over your first ownership year is low. If it's still falling, waiting 60-90 days could save $1,500-$2,500.
The next step is a 30–60 day market-risk review of five vehicles, read alongside the valuation tools you already use.
Last updated November 1, 2026. Forecast refreshes weekly from live dealer listings.
Forecasts and trend classifications are informational analytics only and do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to purchase, hold, or sell any vehicle. Individual market conditions vary.