Sell-or-hold analysis
2023 Rivian R1T 60-day price forecast: buy now or wait?
Rivian R1T pricing has been one of the most volatile EV residuals tracked in 2025-2026 because new-vehicle inventory swings cleared major channel stuffing twice in the past year. The 60-day forecast below reflects that volatility — pay close attention to the P10/P90 width.
If you're a buyer, the wide forecast band itself is the signal: wider band means more price discovery is still happening, and waiting 30-60 days often captures a $2,000-$5,000 swing. If you're a seller, narrower bands signal stable demand and are the better window to list.
2023 Rivian R1T price history
Last 26 weeksMedian asking prices aggregated weekly from active dealer and auction listings.
2023 Rivian R1T 60-day price forecast
Next 8 weeks| Week ending | Low (P10) | Expected (P50) | High (P90) |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | $59,492 | $59,961 | $60,749 |
| May 22, 2026 | $59,350 | $59,986 | $60,994 |
| May 29, 2026 | $59,190 | $59,954 | $61,089 |
| Jun 5, 2026 | $59,101 | $59,917 | $61,117 |
| Jun 12, 2026 | $58,977 | $59,843 | $61,123 |
| Jun 19, 2026 | $58,896 | $59,789 | $61,154 |
| Jun 26, 2026 | $58,755 | $59,683 | $61,125 |
| Jul 3, 2026 | $58,674 | $59,628 | $61,142 |
Common questions
Is the R1T's resale value affected by the upcoming R2 launch?
Marginally — R2 is positioned as a smaller, cheaper EV SUV (not a truck), so direct cannibalization on the R1T buyer pool is limited. But the R2 launch will pull marketing dollars and dealer attention, which has historically softened R1T demand by 3-5% in launch quarters.
Quad-Motor vs Dual-Motor R1T — which holds value better?
Quad-Motor has held roughly 5-7% better residual than Dual-Motor over the trailing 12 months because the buyer pool is more inelastic — Quad buyers chose it for performance, not budget. That delta narrows as both age past 60,000 miles.
Is Rivian's company-survival risk priced into the R1T residual?
Largely yes. The market has been pricing in production-volume uncertainty since 2023. Material risk would only re-emerge on a clear funding event; routine cash burn has been absorbed.
See the R1T forecast band update each week
See the live 60-day forecast band, weekly market refresh, and price alerts for every CarCast-tracked vehicle.
Last updated May 8, 2026. Forecast refreshes weekly from live dealer listings.
Forecasts and trend classifications are informational analytics only and do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to purchase, hold, or sell any vehicle. Individual market conditions vary.