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Sell-or-hold analysis
The G01 X3 generation runs through MY2024, with the all-new G45 launching for MY2025-MY2026. That timing has applied roughly 7-10% downward residual pressure on 2023 X3 trims through 2025 as buyers anticipated the new generation. Our 60-day band below shows where that pressure stands now.
End-of-generation luxury crossovers typically over-depreciate in the 6 months before next-gen reveal, then partially recover once new-gen inventory normalizes and prior-gen buyers re-enter on price. That recovery window is the structural argument for holding.
Median asking prices aggregated weekly from active dealer and auction listings.
| Week ending | Low (P10) | Expected (P50) | High (P90) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | $29,064 | $29,999 | $30,907 |
| Nov 15, 2026 | $29,029 | $30,130 | $31,120 |
| Nov 22, 2026 | $28,983 | $30,206 | $31,242 |
| Nov 29, 2026 | $28,977 | $30,264 | $31,316 |
| Dec 6, 2026 | $29,089 | $30,415 | $31,487 |
| Dec 13, 2026 | $28,987 | $30,374 | $31,471 |
| Dec 20, 2026 | $28,976 | $30,403 | $31,506 |
| Dec 27, 2026 | $28,918 | $30,421 | $31,587 |
Yes — roughly 7-10% downward through 2025 as buyers waited for the G45. Now that G45 inventory is in market, the prior-gen 2023 has cleaner positioning as a known-quantity used vehicle at a 15-20% lower price than new G45 examples.
B58-engine X3s (xDrive30i / M40i) have been more durable long-term than the B48 four-cylinder. If you're buying for 5+ year ownership, the engine matters more than the model year. The sDrive30i runs the B48 four — solid but watch maintenance history.
With residuals near their structural floor, buying used captures the depreciation curve that's already been taken. Leasing makes more sense on a new vehicle where the lessor absorbs the early-life depreciation.
The next step is a 30–60 day market-risk review of five vehicles, read alongside the valuation tools you already use.
Last updated November 1, 2026. Forecast refreshes weekly from live dealer listings.
Forecasts and trend classifications are informational analytics only and do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to purchase, hold, or sell any vehicle. Individual market conditions vary.