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Used truck, 2023
The 2023 Toyota Tacoma SR5 is the volume trim of the midsize truck with the strongest resale value in its class. Here's our 60-day forecast and complete buying guide.
Current median price
$34,692
1,008 active listings
60-day forecast
$34,673
AI-predicted median
Expected change
-0.1%
vs. today
Confidence
95%
forecast confidence
Median days on market
85 days
last 90 days, n=2,220 listings
How 2023 Toyota Tacoma is tracking: CarCast forecasts a -0.1% move over the next 60 days. The broader used-car market is down 0.6% year-over-year (MUVVI) and down 1.5% on the consumer price index.
Median asking prices aggregated weekly from active dealer and auction listings.
We refresh the 2023 Toyota Tacoma SR5forecast every Sunday. We'll email you a short update whenever the median moves more than $500 or 2%.
| Week ending | Low (P10) | Expected (P50) | High (P90) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | $34,540 | $34,660 | $34,847 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | $34,553 | $34,683 | $34,883 |
| Nov 8, 2026 | $34,553 | $34,692 | $34,924 |
| Nov 15, 2026 | $34,564 | $34,720 | $34,946 |
| Nov 22, 2026 | $34,523 | $34,689 | $34,898 |
| Nov 29, 2026 | $34,519 | $34,688 | $34,881 |
| Dec 6, 2026 | $34,508 | $34,685 | $34,880 |
| Dec 13, 2026 | $34,509 | $34,673 | $34,882 |
The Toyota Tacoma SR5 dominates the midsize pickup resale market — it has the strongest residual value of any truck in its class, bar none. SR5 is the mid-trim volume seller, sitting above SR and below TRD Sport, TRD Off-Road, and TRD Pro. Tacoma SR5s routinely retain 65-75% of their value after five years, which is an anomaly in the truck segment.
The third-generation Tacoma (2016-2023) is the dominant used inventory, and 2020+ units have the updated 10-inch touchscreen and Android Auto/CarPlay. The 2024+ fourth-generation redesign introduced the 2.4L turbo-four and hybrid options, but used inventory is still thin. For most buyers, a 2020-2023 SR5 is the sweet spot for features and value.
The 3.5L V6 is the overwhelming majority of SR5 inventory. Double Cab 4x4 SR5s with the V6 are the strongest resale configuration — they can command a 10-15% premium over Access Cab 4x2 SR5s at equivalent mileage. Manual-transmission Tacomas are rare and have a devoted buyer base; expect a 5-8% premium if you find one.
The SR5 Premium Package adds leather-trimmed seats, navigation, blind spot monitoring, and JBL audio. It's worth the $1,500-$2,500 premium on a used example because it's what most private buyers want. The Technology Package adds pedestrian detection and rear cross-traffic alert — also worth seeking out for resale.
Tacoma pricing is highly regional. Colorado, Utah, and the Pacific Northwest command 5-8% premiums over national average. The Southeast and Texas run closer to par. Salt-belt states (Midwest, Northeast) can be 3-5% below national average, but frame rust is a concern — always inspect underbody on anything older than 2017.
Three reasons: Toyota's bulletproof reliability reputation, limited supply relative to demand (Toyota doesn't flood the market), and a cult-like buyer base in the overlanding and outdoor recreation communities. Tacomas from 2016-2020 often sell within 5-7 days on dealer lots — the fastest-moving inventory in the truck segment.
Financially, the Ranger XLT is 8-12% cheaper at equivalent mileage and offers similar capability. But the Tacoma holds value significantly better — if you plan to sell within 5 years, the Tacoma's depreciation gap typically erases the purchase-price savings of the Ranger. For long-term keepers, the Ranger XLT can be the better economic choice.
Tacomas regularly hit 250,000+ miles with basic maintenance. The resale curve flattens around 120k miles — above that, pricing stays within a $3,000 band regardless of additional miles. A 150k-mile Tacoma with a clean carfax and no rust is genuinely a good buy.
Our model expects prices to stay roughly flat over the forecast window.
CarCast's AI-powered forecasting combines live listing prices, historical trends, regional economic indicators, and search-interest data to project where used car prices are heading. Informational analytics only — not financial advice.
Forecasts and trend classifications are informational analytics only and do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to purchase, hold, or sell any vehicle. Individual market conditions vary.
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The forecast on this page is the public 30-day median. Dealer is $199/mo for a full lot. A 90-day forecast is not published.