CarCast EV — built for battery-electric pricing
The EV pricing platform that shows your work.
AI 30 and 60-day price forecasts for every US-market battery-electric vehicle from 2020+. Tesla, Ford, GM, Hyundai-Kia-Genesis, Nissan, VW Group, BMW, Mercedes, Volvo, Polestar, Lucid, Rivian — all of them. Weekly refresh, confidence bands, and a battery-health estimate every other pricing tool ignores.
Informational analytics. Not financial advice.
Used EV market — right now
Live aggregate across 206 EV segments tracked from MarketCheck dealer listings.
Segments tracked
206
25 makes · 2020–2026
Active listings
51,777
Across the dealer network
Avg 30-day change
-0.7%
33 rising · 111 softening · 62 stable
Outlook
Softening
Aggregate trend
Why EV pricing is broken
Generalist pricing tools were built for ICE. EV residuals don't depreciate like a Camry — and the gap shows up where dealers lose money.
Battery health beats mileage
Two 2022 Model 3s with identical mileage can differ by $4-6K depending on state of health. KBB and vAuto don't account for it.
Residuals swing ±20%
EV depreciation isn't linear. A new model release, federal credit shift, or charging-network expansion moves the whole curve.
Sparse history per VIN
Many EVs only have 2-3 years of trade data. Generalist models trained on ICE corpora wash this signal out. CarCast trains EV-aware.
EVs tracked on CarCast
Top 60 by listing volume. Click any to see the full forecast + battery-health estimate.
2023 Tesla Model Y RWD
+1.4%2023 Tesla Model 3 RWD
+1.5%2024 Cadillac Lyriq
-3.6%2024 Hyundai Ioniq 5
-0.6%2024 Chevrolet Blazer EV
-3.4%2022 Tesla Model 3 Standard Range Plus
+1.8%2024 Nissan Ariya
+2.5%2024 Tesla Model Y
+0.0%2024 BMW iX
-3.3%2021 Tesla Model Y Long Range
+0.5%2024 Chevrolet Equinox EV
-0.6%2021 Tesla Model 3 Standard Range Plus
+3.0%2020 Tesla Model 3 Standard Range Plus
+2.5%2024 Kia EV6
-0.0%2024 Tesla Model Y Long Range
+0.0%2023 BMW i4
-0.8%2023 Nissan Ariya
-0.3%2023 Ford Mustang Mach-E Select
-0.9%2024 Kia EV9
+0.6%2023 Mercedes-Benz EQE SUV
+2.1%2025 Nissan Leaf
-5.4%2026 Tesla Model Y
+1.1%2022 Tesla Model Y Long Range
-0.2%2025 Tesla Model 3
-0.3%2022 Tesla Model 3 Long Range
-1.0%2025 Ford Mustang Mach-E
-1.4%2023 Volkswagen ID.4 Pro
-2.4%2023 Audi Q4 e-tron
-0.7%2024 BMW i4
-0.5%2023 Subaru Solterra
-0.2%2024 Polestar 2
-2.3%2023 Mercedes-Benz EQS SUV
-0.4%2024 Ford Mustang Mach-E
-6.5%2024 Audi Q8 e-tron
-0.8%2023 Toyota bZ4X
-0.0%2024 Tesla Model 3
-0.6%2024 Honda Prologue
-0.4%2023 Hyundai IONIQ 5 SE Standard Range
+0.3%2023 Hyundai Ioniq 6
-0.8%2025 Chevrolet Equinox EV
-0.9%2022 Tesla Model X
-1.1%2023 Ford F-150 Lightning
-0.6%2023 Tesla Model X
-0.9%2025 Tesla Model Y
-0.7%2023 Mercedes-Benz EQE
-0.4%2023 Kia EV6 Light
+0.0%2023 Polestar 2
+0.8%2020 Tesla Model Y Long Range
+0.3%2023 Mercedes-Benz EQS
-3.2%2026 Lucid Air
+1.1%2024 Hyundai Ioniq 5 SE
+1.7%2023 Rivian R1S
-0.5%2026 Chevrolet Equinox EV
+0.0%2024 GMC Hummer EV
-0.9%2024 Nissan Leaf
-1.0%2023 Lexus RZ
+0.1%2021 Tesla Model S
-0.2%2025 GMC Hummer EV
-4.1%2023 BMW iX
-1.9%2021 Ford Mustang Mach-E Select
-0.1%How we estimate battery health
Battery state of health (SoH) is the single biggest variable in used-EV value after model and mileage. We publish an estimated SoH range on every EV page, built from a model-family degradation curve calibrated to public research:
- Recurrent 2024 fleet study — median Tesla Model 3 retains 88% of original capacity at 100k miles
- Geotab 2024 EV degradation report — average loss 1.8%/yr across mixed-make EV fleets
- OEM warranty floors — Tesla/Ford/GM/Hyundai-Kia warranty 70% of capacity at 8yr/100k mi
- Model-family adjustments — older Nissan Leafs (passive thermal management) degrade faster; Tesla/Lucid (active liquid cooling) retain more
The number you see is the family median ±5pp. Real per-VIN SoH varies — a Recurrent or dealer battery report on the actual VIN beats any model. We'll integrate live per-VIN battery data as that ecosystem matures.
Frequently asked
How often do EV forecasts refresh?
Every Sunday at 3am ET, the full forecast pipeline re-runs against the latest MarketCheck listing snapshot. Listing data inside the chart refreshes daily.
Which EVs are tracked?
Every meaningful US-market battery-electric vehicle from 2020+: Tesla, Ford, Chevrolet/GMC/Cadillac, Hyundai/Kia/Genesis, Nissan, VW/Audi/Porsche, BMW, Mercedes, Volvo/Polestar, Lucid, Rivian, Toyota/Lexus, Subaru, Honda/Acura, Mini, Fiat, and Jaguar. We add new model years on launch.
Do used EV prices go down faster than gas cars?
Generally yes. EV residuals depreciate 1.5-2x faster than equivalent ICE vehicles in the first three years, driven by model-year refreshes, rapid range improvements on new models, and federal tax-credit availability shifting between new and used cars. CarCast's forecasts capture these moves at the segment level.
Do you charge extra for EVs?
No. EV forecasts are included in the same Free / Dealer ($199/mo) / Agency ($499/mo) plans as ICE vehicles. Dealer unlocks the full 60-day forecast horizon and confidence bands.
Is the battery-health number from a real VIN scan?
Not yet — it's a model-family estimate from public degradation research. A real per-VIN report (Recurrent or dealer scan) is more accurate. We'll integrate live per-VIN data as that data ecosystem matures.
Forecasts and trend classifications are informational analytics only and do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to purchase, hold, or sell any vehicle. Individual market conditions vary.